Kalonzo Leads Opposition Presidential Race with 45% as Sifuna Follows at 28% – Swiss Poll
Wiper Democratic Movement leader Kalonzo Musyoka has emerged as the most preferred opposition presidential candidate ahead of the 2027 General Election, according to a new opinion poll conducted by Swiss Poll International.
The survey places Kalonzo at the top with 45 per cent support among respondents asked to identify their preferred opposition flagbearer, giving him a 17-percentage-point lead over Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, who came second with 28 per cent.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i secured third position with 11 per cent, followed by former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua at nine per cent. Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro completed the list with four per cent.
The findings were based on a survey of 4,113 respondents conducted through telephone interviews between November 5 and November 10, 2026, across Kenya’s eight former provinces. The poll reported a 95 per cent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.
Swiss Poll International has presented the findings as independent research. However, claims about the organisation’s independence and immunity from political influence should be distinguished from the poll results themselves and assessed through transparency about its methodology, funding and research processes.
The findings are likely to add momentum to the ongoing debate over who should lead the opposition’s presidential campaign as the country moves closer to the 2027 General Election.
